The Clinton Moment.
Now is her moment. The Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade creates the opening for Hillary Clinton to get out of stealth mode and start down the path toward declaring her candidacy for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination.
Conditions are favorable:
1. Joe Biden is too old to run for re-election. Everyone knows this. Virtually everyone in the Democratic Party is at their wit’s end over what to do about it. The most recent last straw was the cue card. Here’s what the cue card said:
"YOU enter the Roosevelt Room and say hello to participants."
"YOU take YOUR seat. "
"YOU give brief comments [...]" This note was partially blocked by Biden's finger.
"YOU ask Liz Shuler, President, AFL-CIO, a question. Note: Liz is joining virtually."
"YOU thank participants."
2. It isn’t going to get better. Everyone knows it isn’t going to get better. Which explains this:
A majority of Democratic voters want President Joe Biden off the party’s ticket for the 2024 presidential election, according to a recent poll.
The survey, conducted by Marist, found that among registered Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents, 44% (or 55% of those with an opinion) of respondents want another candidate to replace President Joe Biden as the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024.
Just 36% (45% among those who had an opinion) of registered Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents want Biden to run for reelection. Twenty percent of respondents did not have a clear preference.
3. There is no bench. I made this point in a subscriber note last December. Others did as well. Nothing has changed since then. If anything, veteran Democrats are even more pessimistic about Kamala Harris as a potential presidential nominee. As for the others, former Vice President Al Gore is probably the party’s best bet. He has indicated zero interest in running.
That leaves former Secretary of State John Kerry, Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, California Governor Gavin Newsom and….maybe….possibly….an outsider like Sheryl Sandberg (ex-Facebook COO) or Bob Iger (ex-Disney CEO).
That’s the field. When describing it, the word “formidable” does not spring to mind. Nor do the words “up to it.”
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